House expected outcome
An average of published House ratings. Not a prediction. Missing ratings are left out.
Cook 435 of 435 · Sep 25, 2026. Crystal Ball 82 of 435 · Sep 29, 2026, non-safe seats only. Inside Elections 73 of 435 · Oct 1, 2026, non-safe seats only. The choice is saved in this browser.
Projected Democratic seats
220.3
a majority
218 to control the House
Projected Republican seats
214.7
3.3 short of 218
218
207 at least lean Democratic, 201 at least lean Republican, 27 in the toss-up band. Those toss-ups are split by their win probability in the totals above. The mark is 218, a majority of 435.
Leaning means Lean, Likely, or Solid. Toss-up and Tilt stay in the toss-up band. The bar splits that band by Republican win probability. All 435 voting seats have a rating in this view. Where only Cook is published, the average is Cook alone and the row says 1 of 3.
Redrawn since 2024
Nine states are using a new House map this year: Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah. Missouri’s map was blocked. Virginia’s was struck down. The cards below are only the incumbents who changed district numbers, and the district numbers a source said are no longer last year’s seat. Other seats in those states were redrawn too. They are not listed one by one.
- AL Legislative map allowed June 2, 2026.
- CA Proposition 50, Nov 4, 2025.
- FL New map signed May 4, 2026.
- LA New map May 29, 2026. The 6th was altered.
- NC New map Oct 22, 2025. Don Davis’s seat was the named target.
- OH Commission map Oct 31, 2025. Required by state law.
- TN New map May 7, 2026. The 9th was the named target.
- TX New map Aug 29, 2025.
- UT Court map Nov 10, 2025.
Incumbent, new district
Running in the 2nd. The new 1st is open.
Leidos HITSSolid RLeidos IQ
Ballotpedia News, May 26, 2026
Running in the 3rd. Most of that district had not been hers.
HouseCallSolid RFireside 21
Ballotpedia News, May 26, 2026
Running in the 4th. Burgess Owens retired.
HouseCallSolid RIndigoVern
Ballotpedia News, May 26, 2026
Left the old 35th. That number was redrawn and has no incumbent.
Leidos HITSSolid DIndigoVern
Texas Tribune, Sep 30, 2026
Drawn into the 40th with Young Kim, who already held CA-40. Same-party general.
HouseCallSolid RLeidos IQ
Ballotpedia, California’s 40th
Not the same seat as 2024
Al Green’s old seat. The Tribune says fewer than 3% of voters carried over. Green ran in TX-18 and lost the primary. Nominee in this book: Alex Mealer.
Shared Staffer/HouseLikely RLeidos IQ
Texas Tribune, Sep 30, 2026
Was Casar’s safe Democratic seat. Redrawn; he is running in TX-37. Nominee in this book: Carlos De La Cruz.
Shared Staffer/HouseLean RIndigoVern
Texas Tribune, Sep 30, 2026
Julie Johnson’s old number. She ran in TX-33 and lost that primary. This number is open. Nominee in this book: Jace Yarbrough.
Shared Staffer/HouseSolid RIndigoVern
This book, plus CBS Texas on her move to the 33rd
Blake Moore left this number for UT-02. The 1st is open. Nominee in this book: Ben McAdams.
HouseCallSolid DIndigoVern
Ballotpedia News, May 26, 2026
The 2024 CA-41 was Ken Calvert’s Riverside seat. That seat was broken up. This book now lists Sánchez as the incumbent in CA-41.
Shared Staffer/HouseSolid DNo CMS match
Proposition 50 coverage; Ballotpedia on Calvert’s move
Darrell Issa is not seeking re-election. The district gained Democratic-leaning cities. Nominee in this book: Marni von Wilpert.
Shared Staffer/HouseLean DLeidos IQ
Proposition 50; this book
David Valadao is still the incumbent in CA-22. The new lines added Democratic areas in Fresno.
Leidos HITSToss UpFireside 21
Proposition 50
Greg Landsman is still in OH-01. The commission map made this district more competitive.
Shared Staffer/HouseLean DIndigoVern
Wikipedia, 2025–2026 redistricting
Marcy Kaptur is still in OH-09. The commission map made this district more competitive.
Shared Staffer/HouseToss UpLeidos IQ
Wikipedia, 2025–2026 redistricting
Don Davis is still in NC-01. The new map made his seat more favorable to Republicans.
Shared Staffer/HouseLean RIndigoVern
Wikipedia, 2025–2026 redistricting
Steve Cohen’s Memphis seat was the target. He is not seeking re-election.
Shared Staffer/HouseSolid RLeidos IQ
Wikipedia, 2025–2026 redistricting
The new map altered the 6th and is expected to shift it toward Republicans. Cleo Fields is not seeking re-election in this book.
Shared Staffer/HouseSolid RLeidos IQ
Wikipedia, 2025–2026 redistricting
Select a state. Territories are not on this map. They stay on the spreadsheet.
435 races
| Seat | Holding | Candidates | Rating | Sources | Providers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-ALIncumbent running | RBegich III | Begich III | Likely RR 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections Likely R. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| AL-01Open / not seeking | RBarry Moore | Barry Moore | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSIndigoVern |
| AL-02Incumbent running | DFigures | Figures | Likely RR 85% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean R. Inside Elections Likely R. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| AL-03Incumbent running | RRogers | Rogers | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| AL-04Incumbent running | RAderholt | Aderholt | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| AL-05Incumbent running | RStrong | Strong | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| AL-06Incumbent running | RPalmer | Palmer | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| AL-07Incumbent running | DSewell | Sewell | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Professional TechniciansLeidos IQ |
| AR-01Incumbent running | RCrawford | Crawford | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| AR-02Incumbent running | RHill | Hill | Solid RR 95% · 2 of 3Updated 2026-09-29 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| AR-03Incumbent running | RWomack | Womack | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| AR-04Incumbent running | RWesterman | Westerman | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| AZ-01Open / not seeking | RDavid Schweikert | David Schweikert | Tilt DD 58% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Toss-up. These sources disagree by more than one tier. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| AZ-02Incumbent running | RCrane | Crane | Likely RR 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections Likely R. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| AZ-03Incumbent running | DAnsari | Ansari | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| AZ-04Incumbent running | DStanton | Stanton | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| AZ-05Open / not seeking | RAndy Biggs | Andy Biggs | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| AZ-06Incumbent running | RCiscomani | Ciscomani | Toss-upR 50% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Toss-up. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| AZ-07Incumbent running | DGrijalva | Grijalva | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| AZ-08Incumbent running | RHamadeh | Hamadeh | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| AZ-09Incumbent running | RGosar | Gosar | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| CA-01Incumbent running | DGallagher | Gallagher | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseNo CMS match |
| CA-02Incumbent running | DHuffman | Huffman | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CA-03Incumbent running | DBera | Bera | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CA-04Incumbent running | DThompson | Thompson | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| CA-05Incumbent running | RMcClintock | McClintock | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CA-06Incumbent running | DKiley | Kiley | Likely DD 88% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely D. Inside Elections Lean D. These sources disagree by more than one tier. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| CA-07Incumbent running | DMatsui | Matsui | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| CA-08Incumbent running | DGaramendi | Garamendi | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CA-09Incumbent running | DHarder | Harder | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CA-10Incumbent running | DDeSaulnier | DeSaulnier | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIntertrac |
| CA-11Open / not seeking | DNancy Pelosi | Nancy Pelosi | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| CA-12Incumbent running | DSimon | Simon | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| CA-13Incumbent running | DGray | Gray | Lean DD 70% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Tilt D. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CA-14Incumbent running | DWahab | Wahab | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallNo CMS match |
| CA-15Incumbent running | DMullin | Mullin | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| CA-16Incumbent running | DLiccardo | Liccardo | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| CA-17Incumbent running | DKhanna | Khanna | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| CA-18Incumbent running | DLofgren | Lofgren | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| CA-19Incumbent running | DPanetta | Panetta | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CA-20Incumbent running | RFong | Fong | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| CA-21Incumbent running | DCosta | Costa | Likely DD 90% · 2 of 3Updated 2026-09-29 | Cook Likely D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely D. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| CA-22Incumbent runningRedrawn since 2024 | RValadao | Valadao | Tilt DD 58% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Toss-up. These sources disagree by more than one tier. | Leidos HITSFireside 21 |
| CA-23Incumbent running | RObernolte | Obernolte | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| CA-24Incumbent running | DCarbajal | Carbajal | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| CA-25Incumbent running | DRuiz | Ruiz | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| CA-26Open / not seeking | DJulia Brownley | Julia Brownley | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| CA-27Incumbent running | DWhitesides | Whitesides | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CA-28Incumbent running | DChu | Chu | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| CA-29Incumbent running | DRivas | Rivas | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CA-30Incumbent running | DFriedman | Friedman | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| CA-31Incumbent running | DCisneros | Cisneros | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| CA-32Incumbent running | DSherman | Sherman | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| CA-33Incumbent running | DAguilar | Aguilar | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| CA-34Incumbent running | DGomez | Gomez | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| CA-35Incumbent running | DTorres | Torres | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CA-36Incumbent running | DLieu | Lieu | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Professional TechniciansLeidos IQ |
| CA-37Incumbent running | DKamlager-Dove | Kamlager-Dove | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Professional TechniciansLeidos IQ |
| CA-38Open / not seeking | DLinda Sánchez | Linda Sánchez | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CA-39Incumbent running | DTakano | Takano | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| CA-40Vacant / mergedRedrawn since 2024 | RMERGED SEAT | MERGED SEAT | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| CA-41Incumbent runningRedrawn since 2024 | DSánchez | Sánchez | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseNo CMS match |
| CA-42Incumbent running | DGarcia | Garcia | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| CA-43Incumbent running | DWaters | Waters | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CA-44Incumbent running | DBarragán | Barragán | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| CA-45Incumbent running | DTran | Tran | Likely DD 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely D. Inside Elections Likely D. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CA-46Incumbent running | DCorrea | Correa | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| CA-47Incumbent running | DMin | Min | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| CA-48Open / not seekingRedrawn since 2024 | RDarrell Issa | Darrell Issa | Lean DD 70% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Tilt D. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CA-49Incumbent running | DLevin | Levin | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| CA-50Incumbent running | DPeters | Peters | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| CA-51Incumbent running | DJacobs | Jacobs | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| CA-52Incumbent running | DVargas | Vargas | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSIndigoVern |
| CO-01Lost primary | DDiana DeGette | Diana DeGette | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| CO-02Incumbent running | DNeguse | Neguse | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| CO-03Incumbent running | RHurd | Hurd | Likely RR 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections Likely R. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| CO-04Incumbent running | RBoebert | Boebert | Solid RR 95% · 2 of 3Updated 2026-09-29 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| CO-05Incumbent running | RCrank | Crank | Lean RR 70% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean R. Inside Elections Tilt R. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| CO-06Incumbent running | DCrow | Crow | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| CO-07Incumbent running | DPettersen | Pettersen | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| CO-08Incumbent running | REvans | Evans | Toss-upR 50% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Toss-up. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| CT-01Lost primary | DJohn Larson | John Larson | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CT-02Incumbent running | DCourtney | Courtney | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CT-03Incumbent running | DDeLauro | DeLauro | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CT-04Incumbent running | DHimes | Himes | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| CT-05Incumbent running | DHayes | Hayes | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| DE-ALIncumbent running | DMcBride | McBride | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| FL-01Incumbent running | RPatronis | Patronis | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| FL-02Open / not seeking | RNeal Dunn | Neal Dunn | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| FL-03Incumbent running | RCammack | Cammack | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| FL-04Incumbent running | RBean | Bean | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| FL-05Incumbent running | RRutherford | Rutherford | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| FL-06Incumbent running | RFine | Fine | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| FL-07Lost primary | RCory Mills | Cory Mills | Likely RR 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections Likely R. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| FL-08Incumbent running | RHaridopolos | Haridopolos | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| FL-09Incumbent running | DSoto | Soto | Likely RR 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections Likely R. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| FL-10Incumbent running | DFrost | Frost | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| FL-11Open / not seeking | RDaniel Webster | Daniel Webster | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| FL-12Incumbent running | RBilirakis | Bilirakis | Solid RR 95% · 2 of 3Updated 2026-09-29 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| FL-13Incumbent running | RLuna | Luna | Lean RR 80% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections Lean R. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| FL-14Incumbent running | DCastor | Castor | Toss-upR 50% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Toss-up. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| FL-15Incumbent running | RLee | Lee | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| FL-16Open / not seeking | RVern Buchanan | Vern Buchanan | Likely RR 93% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections Likely R. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| FL-17Incumbent running | RSteube | Steube | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| FL-18Incumbent running | RFranklin | Franklin | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSFireside 21 |
| FL-19Open / not seeking | RByron Donalds | Byron Donalds | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Professional TechniciansIndigoVern |
| FL-20Incumbent running | DWasserman Schultz | Wasserman Schultz | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| FL-21Incumbent running | RMast | Mast | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| FL-22Open / not seeking | DLois Frankel | Lois Frankel | Tilt RR 62% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean R. Inside Elections Tilt R. These sources disagree by more than one tier. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| FL-23Incumbent running | DFrankel | Frankel | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| FL-24Open / not seeking | DFrederica Wilson | Frederica Wilson | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| FL-25Incumbent running | DMoskowitz | Moskowitz | Toss-upR 50% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Toss-up. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| FL-26Incumbent running | RDíaz-Balart | Díaz-Balart | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| FL-27Incumbent running | RSalazar | Salazar | Lean RR 75% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean R. Inside Elections Lean R. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| FL-28Incumbent running | RGiménez | Giménez | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| GA-01Open / not seeking | REarl Buddy Carter | Earl Buddy Carter | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| GA-02Incumbent running | DBishop | Bishop | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| GA-03Incumbent running | RJack | Jack | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| GA-04Incumbent running | DJohnson | Johnson | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| GA-05Incumbent running | DWilliams | Williams | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| GA-06Incumbent running | DMcBath | McBath | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| GA-07Incumbent running | RMcCormick | McCormick | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| GA-08Incumbent running | RScott | Scott | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| GA-09Incumbent running | RClyde | Clyde | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| GA-10Open / not seeking | RMike Collins | Mike Collins | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| GA-11Open / not seeking | RBarry Loudermilk | Barry Loudermilk | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| GA-12Incumbent running | RAllen | Allen | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| GA-13Open / not seeking | DDavid Scott / Blair | David Scott / Blair | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| GA-14Incumbent running | RFuller | Fuller | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| HI-01Incumbent running | DCase | Case | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| HI-02Incumbent running | DTokuda | Tokuda | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| IA-01Incumbent running | RMiller-Meeks | Miller-Meeks | Tilt DD 62% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Tilt D. These sources disagree by more than one tier. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| IA-02Open / not seeking | RAshley Hinson | Ashley Hinson | Tilt RR 62% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Tilt R. These sources disagree by more than one tier. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| IA-03Incumbent running | RNunn | Nunn | Toss-upD 53% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Tilt D. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| IA-04Open / not seeking | RRandy Feenstra | Randy Feenstra | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| ID-01Incumbent running | RFulcher | Fulcher | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| ID-02Incumbent running | RSimpson | Simpson | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| IL-01Incumbent running | DJackson | Jackson | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSFireside 21 |
| IL-02Open / not seeking | DRobin Kelly | Robin Kelly | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| IL-03Incumbent running | DRamirez | Ramirez | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| IL-04Open / not seeking | DJesús García | Jesús García | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| IL-05Incumbent running | DQuigley | Quigley | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| IL-06Incumbent running | DCasten | Casten | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| IL-07Open / not seeking | DDanny K. Davis | Danny K. Davis | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| IL-08Open / not seeking | DRaja Krishnamoorthi | Raja Krishnamoorthi | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| IL-09Open / not seeking | DJan Schakowsky | Jan Schakowsky | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| IL-10Incumbent running | DSchneider | Schneider | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| IL-11Incumbent running | DFoster | Foster | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| IL-12Incumbent running | RBost | Bost | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| IL-13Incumbent running | DBudzinski | Budzinski | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| IL-14Incumbent running | DUnderwood | Underwood | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| IL-15Incumbent running | RMiller | Miller | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| IL-16Incumbent running | RLaHood | LaHood | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| IL-17Incumbent running | DSorensen | Sorensen | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| IN-01Incumbent running | DMrvan | Mrvan | Likely DD 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely D. Inside Elections Likely D. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| IN-02Incumbent running | RYakym | Yakym | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| IN-03Incumbent running | RStutzman | Stutzman | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| IN-04Incumbent running | RBaird | Baird | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| IN-05Incumbent running | RSpartz | Spartz | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| IN-06Incumbent running | RShreve | Shreve | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Capitol IdeaIndigoVern |
| IN-07Incumbent running | DCarson | Carson | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| IN-08Incumbent running | RMessmer | Messmer | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| IN-09Incumbent running | RHouchin | Houchin | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| KS-01Incumbent running | RMann | Mann | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| KS-02Incumbent running | RSchmidt | Schmidt | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Capitol IdeaIndigoVern |
| KS-03Incumbent running | DDavids | Davids | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| KS-04Incumbent running | REstes | Estes | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| KY-01Incumbent running | RComer | Comer | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| KY-02Incumbent running | RGuthrie | Guthrie | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| KY-03Incumbent running | DMcGarvey | McGarvey | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| KY-04Lost primary | RThomas Massie | Thomas Massie | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| KY-05Incumbent running | RRogers | Rogers | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| KY-06Open / not seeking | RAndy Barr | Andy Barr | Lean RR 80% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean R. Inside Elections Lean R. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| LA-01Incumbent running | RScalise | Scalise | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| LA-02Incumbent running | DCarter | Carter | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| LA-03Incumbent running | RHiggins | Higgins | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSFireside 21 |
| LA-04Incumbent running | RJohnson | Johnson | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| LA-05Open / not seeking | RJulia Letlow | Julia Letlow | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| LA-06Open / not seekingRedrawn since 2024 | DCleo Fields | Cleo Fields | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| MA-01Incumbent running | DNeal | Neal | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| MA-02Incumbent running | DMcGovern | McGovern | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| MA-03Incumbent running | DTrahan | Trahan | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| MA-04Incumbent running | DAuchincloss | Auchincloss | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| MA-05Incumbent running | DClark | Clark | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| MA-06Open / not seeking | DSeth Moulton | Seth Moulton | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| MA-07Incumbent running | DPressley | Pressley | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| MA-08Incumbent running | DLynch | Lynch | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| MA-09Incumbent running | DKeating | Keating | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| MD-01Incumbent running | RHarris | Harris | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| MD-02Incumbent running | DOlszewski | Olszewski | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| MD-03Incumbent running | DElfreth | Elfreth | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| MD-04Incumbent running | DIvey | Ivey | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| MD-05Open / not seeking | DSteny Hoyer | Steny Hoyer | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| MD-06Incumbent running | DMcClain Delaney | McClain Delaney | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| MD-07Incumbent running | DMfume | Mfume | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| MD-08Incumbent running | DRaskin | Raskin | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| ME-01Incumbent running | DPingree | Pingree | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| ME-02Open / not seeking | DJared Golden | Jared Golden | Likely RR 85% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean R. Inside Elections Likely R. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| MI-01Incumbent running | RBergman | Bergman | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| MI-02Incumbent running | RMoolenaar | Moolenaar | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| MI-03Incumbent running | DScholten | Scholten | Likely DD 94% · 2 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections Likely D. | Leidos HITSFireside 21 |
| MI-04Incumbent running | RHuizenga | Huizenga | Tilt RR 62% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Tilt R. These sources disagree by more than one tier. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| MI-05Incumbent running | RWalberg | Walberg | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| MI-06Incumbent running | DDingell | Dingell | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| MI-07Incumbent running | RBarrett | Barrett | Toss-upR 50% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Toss-up. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| MI-08Incumbent running | DMcDonald Rivet | McDonald Rivet | Likely DD 90% · 2 of 3Updated 2026-09-29 | Cook Likely D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely D. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| MI-09Incumbent running | RMcClain | McClain | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| MI-10Open / not seeking | RJohn James | John James | Toss-upR 53% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Tilt R. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| MI-11Open / not seeking | DHaley Stevens | Haley Stevens | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| MI-12Incumbent running | DTlaib | Tlaib | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| MI-13Lost primary | DShri Thanedar | Shri Thanedar | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| MN-01Incumbent running | RFinstad | Finstad | Likely RR 85% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections Lean R. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| MN-02Open / not seeking | DAngie Craig | Angie Craig | Likely DD 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely D. Inside Elections Likely D. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| MN-03Incumbent running | DMorrison | Morrison | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| MN-04Incumbent running | DMcCollum | McCollum | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| MN-05Incumbent running | DOmar | Omar | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| MN-06Incumbent running | REmmer | Emmer | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| MN-07Incumbent running | RFischbach | Fischbach | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| MN-08Incumbent running | RStauber | Stauber | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Capitol IdeaFireside 21 |
| MO-01Incumbent running | DBell | Bell | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| MO-02Incumbent running | RWagner | Wagner | Likely RR 83% · 2 of 3Updated 2026-09-29 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean R. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| MO-03Incumbent running | ROnder | Onder | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| MO-04Incumbent running | RAlford | Alford | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| MO-05Incumbent running | DCleaver | Cleaver | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| MO-06Open / not seeking | RSam Graves | Sam Graves | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| MO-07Incumbent running | RBurlison | Burlison | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| MO-08Incumbent running | RSmith | Smith | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| MS-01Incumbent running | RKelly | Kelly | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| MS-02Incumbent running | DThompson | Thompson | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| MS-03Incumbent running | RGuest | Guest | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| MS-04Incumbent running | REzell | Ezell | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| MT-01Open / not seeking | RRyan Zinke | Ryan Zinke | Lean RR 75% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean R. Inside Elections Lean R. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| MT-02Incumbent running | RDowning | Downing | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| NC-01Incumbent runningRedrawn since 2024 | DDavis | Davis | Tilt RR 62% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Tilt R. These sources disagree by more than one tier. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| NC-02Incumbent running | DRoss | Ross | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| NC-03Incumbent running | RMurphy | Murphy | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| NC-04Incumbent running | DFoushee | Foushee | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| NC-05Incumbent running | RFoxx | Foxx | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Professional TechniciansFireside 21 |
| NC-06Incumbent running | RMcDowell | McDowell | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| NC-07Incumbent running | RRouzer | Rouzer | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| NC-08Incumbent running | RHarris | Harris | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NC-09Incumbent running | RHudson | Hudson | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| NC-10Incumbent running | RHarrigan | Harrigan | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| NC-11Open / not seeking | RChuck Edwards | Chuck Edwards | Tilt RR 58% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Lean R. These sources disagree by more than one tier. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NC-12Incumbent running | DAdams | Adams | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| NC-13Incumbent running | RKnott | Knott | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| NC-14Incumbent running | RMoore | Moore | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| ND-ALIncumbent running | RFedorchak | Fedorchak | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NE-01Incumbent running | RFlood | Flood | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NE-02Open / not seeking | RDon Bacon | Don Bacon | Lean DD 70% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Tilt D. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| NE-03Incumbent running | RSmith | Smith | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| NH-01Open / not seeking | DChris Pappas | Chris Pappas | Lean DD 80% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Lean D. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NH-02Incumbent running | DGoodlander | Goodlander | Likely DD 93% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely D. Inside Elections Likely D. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NJ-01Incumbent running | DNorcross | Norcross | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NJ-02Incumbent running | RVan Drew | Van Drew | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| NJ-03Incumbent running | DConaway | Conaway | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NJ-04Incumbent running | RSmith | Smith | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NJ-05Incumbent running | DGottheimer | Gottheimer | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| NJ-06Incumbent running | DPallone | Pallone | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| NJ-07Incumbent running | RKean Jr. | Kean Jr. | Lean DD 70% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Tilt D. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NJ-08Incumbent running | DMenendez | Menendez | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NJ-09Incumbent running | DPou | Pou | Likely DD 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely D. Inside Elections Likely D. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NJ-10Incumbent running | DMcIver | McIver | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| NJ-11Incumbent running | DMejia | Mejia | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| NJ-12Open / not seeking | DBonnie Watson Coleman | Bonnie Watson Coleman | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| NM-01Incumbent running | DStansbury | Stansbury | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| NM-02Incumbent running | DVasquez | Vasquez | Lean DD 70% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Tilt D. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NM-03Incumbent running | DLeger Fernández | Leger Fernández | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NV-01Incumbent running | DTitus | Titus | Likely DD 85% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely D. Inside Elections Lean D. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| NV-02Open / not seeking | RMark Amodei | Mark Amodei | Likely RR 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections Likely R. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| NV-03Incumbent running | DLee | Lee | Lean DD 75% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Lean D. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NV-04Incumbent running | DHorsford | Horsford | Likely DD 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely D. Inside Elections Likely D. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| NY-01Incumbent running | RLaLota | LaLota | Solid RR 95% · 2 of 3Updated 2026-09-29 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NY-02Incumbent running | RGarbarino | Garbarino | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| NY-03Incumbent running | DSuozzi | Suozzi | Lean DD 75% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Lean D. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NY-04Incumbent running | DGillen | Gillen | Lean DD 70% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Tilt D. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| NY-05Incumbent running | DMeeks | Meeks | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| NY-06Incumbent running | DMeng | Meng | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NY-07Open / not seeking | DNydia Velázquez | Nydia Velázquez | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NY-08Incumbent running | DJeffries | Jeffries | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| NY-09Incumbent running | DClarke | Clarke | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NY-10Lost primary | DDan Goldman | Dan Goldman | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| NY-11Incumbent running | RMalliotakis | Malliotakis | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| NY-12Open / not seeking | DJerrold Nadler | Jerrold Nadler | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| NY-13Lost primary | DAdriano Espaillat | Adriano Espaillat | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NY-14Incumbent running | DOcasio-Cortez | Ocasio-Cortez | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| NY-15Incumbent running | DTorres | Torres | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| NY-16Incumbent running | DLatimer | Latimer | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| NY-17Incumbent running | RLawler | Lawler | Toss-upR 50% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Toss-up. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| NY-18Incumbent running | DRyan | Ryan | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| NY-19Incumbent running | DRiley | Riley | Likely DD 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely D. Inside Elections Likely D. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NY-20Incumbent running | DTonko | Tonko | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| NY-21Open / not seeking | RElise Stefanik | Elise Stefanik | Likely RR 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections Likely R. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| NY-22Incumbent running | DMannion | Mannion | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| NY-23Incumbent running | RLangworthy | Langworthy | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| NY-24Incumbent running | RTenney | Tenney | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| NY-25Incumbent running | DMorelle | Morelle | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| NY-26Incumbent running | DKennedy | Kennedy | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| OH-01Incumbent runningRedrawn since 2024 | DLandsman | Landsman | Lean DD 70% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Tilt D. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| OH-02Incumbent running | RTaylor | Taylor | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| OH-03Incumbent running | DBeatty | Beatty | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSFireside 21 |
| OH-04Incumbent running | RJordan | Jordan | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| OH-05Incumbent running | RLatta | Latta | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| OH-06Incumbent running | RRulli | Rulli | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| OH-07Incumbent running | RMiller | Miller | Toss-upR 50% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Toss-up. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| OH-08Incumbent running | RDavidson | Davidson | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| OH-09Incumbent runningRedrawn since 2024 | DKaptur | Kaptur | Toss-upR 53% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Tilt R. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| OH-10Incumbent running | RTurner | Turner | Likely RR 90% · 2 of 3Updated 2026-09-29 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| OH-11Incumbent running | DBrown | Brown | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| OH-12Incumbent running | RBalderson | Balderson | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| OH-13Incumbent running | DSykes | Sykes | Likely DD 90% · 2 of 3Updated 2026-09-29 | Cook Likely D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely D. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| OH-14Incumbent running | RJoyce | Joyce | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| OH-15Incumbent running | RCarey | Carey | Likely RR 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections Likely R. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| OK-01Open / not seeking | RKevin Hern | Kevin Hern | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| OK-02Incumbent running | RBrecheen | Brecheen | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| OK-03Incumbent running | RLucas | Lucas | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| OK-04Incumbent running | RCole | Cole | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| OK-05Incumbent running | RBice | Bice | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| OR-01Incumbent running | DBonamici | Bonamici | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| OR-02Incumbent running | RBentz | Bentz | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| OR-03Incumbent running | DDexter | Dexter | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| OR-04Incumbent running | DHoyle | Hoyle | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| OR-05Incumbent running | DBynum | Bynum | Likely DD 94% · 2 of 3Updated 2026-09-29 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely D. Inside Elections not listed. | Professional TechniciansLeidos IQ |
| OR-06Incumbent running | DSalinas | Salinas | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| PA-01Incumbent running | RFitzpatrick | Fitzpatrick | Lean RR 80% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean R. Inside Elections Lean R. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| PA-02Incumbent running | DBoyle | Boyle | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| PA-03Open / not seeking | DDwight Evans | Dwight Evans | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| PA-04Incumbent running | DDean | Dean | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| PA-05Incumbent running | DScanlon | Scanlon | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| PA-06Incumbent running | DHoulahan | Houlahan | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| PA-07Incumbent running | RMackenzie | Mackenzie | Tilt DD 58% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Toss-up. These sources disagree by more than one tier. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| PA-08Incumbent running | RBresnahan | Bresnahan | Toss-upR 50% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Toss-up. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| PA-09Incumbent running | RMeuser | Meuser | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| PA-10Incumbent running | RPerry | Perry | Toss-upR 50% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Toss-up. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| PA-11Incumbent running | RSmucker | Smucker | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| PA-12Incumbent running | DLee | Lee | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| PA-13Incumbent running | RJoyce | Joyce | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| PA-14Incumbent running | RReschenthaler | Reschenthaler | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| PA-15Incumbent running | RThompson | Thompson | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| PA-16Incumbent running | RKelly | Kelly | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| PA-17Incumbent running | DDeluzio | Deluzio | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| RI-01Incumbent running | DAmo | Amo | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| RI-02Incumbent running | DMagaziner | Magaziner | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| SC-01Open / not seeking | RNancy Mace | Nancy Mace | Likely RR 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections Likely R. | Professional TechniciansIndigoVern |
| SC-02Incumbent running | RWilson | Wilson | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| SC-03Incumbent running | RBiggs | Biggs | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| SC-04Incumbent running | RTimmons | Timmons | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| SC-05Open / not seeking | RRalph Norman | Ralph Norman | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| SC-06Incumbent running | DClyburn | Clyburn | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| SC-07Incumbent running | RFry | Fry | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| SD-ALOpen / not seeking | RDusty Johnson | Dusty Johnson | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Capitol IdeaLeidos IQ |
| TN-01Incumbent running | RHarshbarger | Harshbarger | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| TN-02Incumbent running | RBurchett | Burchett | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| TN-03Incumbent running | RFleischmann | Fleischmann | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| TN-04Incumbent running | RDesJarlais | DesJarlais | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| TN-05Lost primary | RAndy Ogles | Andy Ogles | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| TN-06Open / not seeking | RJohn Rose | John Rose | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| TN-07Incumbent running | RVan Epps | Van Epps | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| TN-08Incumbent running | RKustoff | Kustoff | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| TN-09Open / not seekingRedrawn since 2024 | DSteve Cohen | Steve Cohen | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| TX-01Incumbent running | RMoran | Moran | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| TX-02Lost primary | RDan Crenshaw | Dan Crenshaw | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| TX-03Incumbent running | RSelf | Self | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| TX-04Incumbent running | RFallon | Fallon | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| TX-05Incumbent running | RGooden | Gooden | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| TX-06Incumbent running | REllzey | Ellzey | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| TX-07Incumbent running | DFletcher | Fletcher | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| TX-08Open / not seeking | RMorgan Luttrell | Morgan Luttrell | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| TX-09Lost primaryRedrawn since 2024 | DAl Green | Al Green | Likely RR 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections Likely R. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| TX-10Open / not seeking | RMichael McCaul | Michael McCaul | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| TX-11Incumbent running | RPfluger | Pfluger | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| TX-12Incumbent running | RGoldman | Goldman | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| TX-13Incumbent running | RJackson | Jackson | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSFireside 21 |
| TX-14Incumbent running | RWeber | Weber | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| TX-15Incumbent running | RDe La Cruz | De La Cruz | Toss-upR 53% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Tilt R. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| TX-16Incumbent running | DEscobar | Escobar | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| TX-17Incumbent running | RSessions | Sessions | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| TX-18Incumbent running | DMenefee | Menefee | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| TX-19Open / not seeking | RJodey Arrington | Jodey Arrington | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| TX-20Incumbent running | DCastro | Castro | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| TX-21Open / not seeking | RChip Roy | Chip Roy | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| TX-22Open / not seeking | RTroy Nehls | Troy Nehls | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| TX-23Vacant / merged | RTony Gonzales | Tony Gonzales | Likely RR 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections Likely R. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| TX-24Incumbent running | RVan Duyne | Van Duyne | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| TX-25Incumbent running | RWilliams | Williams | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| TX-26Incumbent running | RGill | Gill | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| TX-27Incumbent running | RCloud | Cloud | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| TX-28Incumbent running | DCuellar | Cuellar | Lean DD 70% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Tilt D. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| TX-29Incumbent running | DGarcia | Garcia | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| TX-30Open / not seeking | DJasmine Crockett | Jasmine Crockett | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| TX-31Incumbent running | RCarter | Carter | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| TX-32Open / not seekingRedrawn since 2024 | DJulie Johnson / open | Julie Johnson / open | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| TX-33Lost primary | DJulie Johnson | Julie Johnson | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| TX-34Incumbent running | DGonzalez | Gonzalez | Tilt DD 58% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Toss-up. These sources disagree by more than one tier. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| TX-35Open / not seekingRedrawn since 2024 | DGreg Casar | Greg Casar | Lean RR 75% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean R. Inside Elections Lean R. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| TX-36Incumbent running | RBabin | Babin | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| TX-37Incumbent runningRedrawn since 2024 | DCasar | Casar | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSIndigoVern |
| TX-38Open / not seeking | RWesley Hunt | Wesley Hunt | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| UT-01Open / not seekingRedrawn since 2024 | RBlake Moore | Blake Moore | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| UT-02Incumbent runningRedrawn since 2024 | RMoore | Moore | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| UT-03Incumbent runningRedrawn since 2024 | RMaloy | Maloy | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| UT-04Incumbent runningRedrawn since 2024 | RKennedy | Kennedy | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| VA-01Incumbent running | RWittman | Wittman | Tilt RR 67% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Lean R. These sources disagree by more than one tier. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| VA-02Incumbent running | RKiggans | Kiggans | Tilt DD 58% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Toss-up. These sources disagree by more than one tier. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| VA-03Incumbent running | DScott | Scott | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| VA-04Incumbent running | DMcClellan | McClellan | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| VA-05Incumbent running | RMcGuire | McGuire | Likely RR 85% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean R. Inside Elections Likely R. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| VA-06Incumbent running | RCline | Cline | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| VA-07Incumbent running | DVindman | Vindman | Likely DD 90% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Likely D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely D. Inside Elections Likely D. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| VA-08Incumbent running | DBeyer | Beyer | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseFireside 21 |
| VA-09Incumbent running | RGriffith | Griffith | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| VA-10Incumbent running | DSubramanyam | Subramanyam | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| VA-11Incumbent running | DWalkinshaw | Walkinshaw | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Capitol IdeaFireside 21 |
| VT-ALIncumbent running | DBalint | Balint | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| WA-01Incumbent running | DDelBene | DelBene | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| WA-02Incumbent running | DLarsen | Larsen | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| WA-03Incumbent running | DPerez | Perez | Tilt DD 58% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Lean D. Inside Elections Toss-up. These sources disagree by more than one tier. | HouseCallIndigoVern |
| WA-04Open / not seeking | RDan Newhouse | Dan Newhouse | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| WA-05Incumbent running | RBaumgartner | Baumgartner | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |
| WA-06Incumbent running | DRandall | Randall | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| WA-07Incumbent running | DJayapal | Jayapal | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| WA-08Incumbent running | DSchrier | Schrier | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| WA-09Incumbent running | DSmith | Smith | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| WA-10Incumbent running | DStrickland | Strickland | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| WI-01Incumbent running | RSteil | Steil | Likely RR 85% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Lean R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Likely R. Inside Elections Likely R. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| WI-02Incumbent running | DPocan | Pocan | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| WI-03Incumbent running | RVan Orden | Van Orden | Toss-upR 50% · 3 of 3Updated 2026-10-01 | Cook Toss Up · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball Toss-up. Inside Elections Toss-up. | Shared Staffer/HouseLeidos IQ |
| WI-04Incumbent running | DMoore | Moore | Solid DD 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid D · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| WI-05Incumbent running | RFitzgerald | Fitzgerald | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallLeidos IQ |
| WI-06Incumbent running | RGrothman | Grothman | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| WI-07Open / not seeking | RTom Tiffany | Tom Tiffany | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Professional TechniciansLeidos IQ |
| WI-08Incumbent running | RWied | Wied | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Leidos HITSLeidos IQ |
| WV-01Incumbent running | RMiller | Miller | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| WV-02Incumbent running | RMoore | Moore | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | HouseCallFireside 21 |
| WY-ALOpen / not seeking | RHarriet Hageman | Harriet Hageman | Solid RR 99% · 1 of 3Updated 2026-09-25 | Cook Solid R · 2026-09-25. Crystal Ball not listed. Inside Elections not listed. | Shared Staffer/HouseIndigoVern |